In fact, the model is up over $8,300 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. Gambling problem? Kramer Hickok ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). Overall, 23 of the games best 25 players will tee it up come Thursday. Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. Rare company, to say the least. Matt Fitzpatrick ($8,800 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). Shane Lowry ($10,400 DraftKings | $11,800 FanDuel). Per stats guru Justin Ray, only two other players have pulled off the rare accomplishment in the past 40 years on tour. Hell need to rebound quickly, but against this field and with that recent stat profile, there are obvious concerns rostering him despite his upside. picks 2023 Genesis Invitational Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Whats Wrong With Tom Kim? Hes played this event once, finishing T-49 in 2015. One of these players had an excellent finish his last time in Palm Springs and has been in solid form.You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine. Rahm is the best player in the world until further notice. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long- and short-form content, owner of the Mayo Media Network and host of The Pat Mayo Experience. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | (Photo: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports). Powers, Golf Digest: Maverick McNealy (18-1, DraftKings) McNealy is on a streak of three consecutive top-20 finishes, but its all thanks to a scorching hot putter. Joaqun Niemann (R) of Chile celebrates with the trophy alongside friend and competitor Mito Pereira (L) of Chile after winning the final round of The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club on February 20, 2022 in Pacific Palisades, California. Hes gained more than 10 strokes to the field in nine of his past 10 starts worldwide, which is a staggering number. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Detry will be coming into this event brimming with confidence after his runner-up finish last week. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make Hes accomplished both on and around the greens, which gives him the highest upside and most well-rounded golfer teeing it up. Matt Fitzpatrick might be coming back down to earth after his US Open win so take Jon Rahm to beat the Englishman in a 72-hole match bet at -130 DraftKings That will undoubtedly change soon, but Im not ready to bet on it at single-digit odds. Justin Thomas ($9,600 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. Its that kind of formula that yielded his breakthrough victory at Torrey Pines of all places. Min Woo Lee hasnt played an official PGA Tour event since the Open Championship (T-21) but has been crushing the DP World Tour as of late. His usually reliable driver has let him down, and he hasnt been as precise on his second shots. Hes been competitive in the toughest fields of the year and will now get to battle a much weaker composition of his peers. The mid-range approaches aren't Schauffele's strength he was 185th on tour from 150-175 yards last season. Kuchar has also gained strokes in all three tee-to-green stats in both starts this season but has uncharacteristically lost strokes putting. He just missed a massive 130-1 score last week when Hayden Buckley finished second at the Sony Open. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Keep it social. Detry certainly seems to be building toward something big. Players 2023: The 13 best bets to win at TPC Sawgrass Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Hes lost a combined 12.9 strokes/putting over his past two weight starts. 1 DFS Player. Will Zalatoris tees off on the tenth during the third round of the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play golf tournament. Sam Ryder ($7,000 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, and find out. Betting Preview for the Euro Tour: A quick hitter article for some Euro Tour action provided by both Ben Rasa and Jason Rouslin. Hes teed it up eight times and has earned just one top 25 in a full-field eventa T-12 at the Sony Open. Will Zalatoris ($9,400 DraftKings | $10,900 FanDuel). TPC Summerlin 8. It just doesnt need to. You probably guessed that one of them was Tiger Woods, who did it an absurd six separate times, including two four-peats. 6-keys: media/spln/golf/reg/free/stories, at His last two starts have resulted in a T-11 and T-8, so clearly something is brewing for Day right now. Hes gained strokes on approach in seven straight starts, something he hasnt done since the fall of 2017 when he was ranked inside the top 10 in the world. Min Woo Lee ($9,400 DraftKings | $11,000 FanDuel). Torrey Pines South 5. We can argue about how hampered he is, but he has some of the best tournament history in the field. RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Honda Classic, Robby Shelton ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,700 FanDuel). hes lined up to tackle a brutish backdrop, he demands our attention. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Collin Morikawa (16-1, FanDuel) El Camaleon should suit Morikawa very well. Sepp Straka (T-35, T-30, T-3), Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Lee Alldrick of FanShare Sports started out writing an article highlighting the best bargain plays for fantasy golf under his twitter handle @DKGolfBargains. From tee-to-green hes elite and now hes making massive gains with his putter. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) This price is too low for someone who has played just one event in the last nine weeks. If youre look for win equity in the 40-1+ range, look no further than J-Day. Thats a sour combination most weeks, but its especially true here at PGA National, which will require putting and precision. One surprising pick from McDonald this week: The expert is strongly fading Schauffele, who could struggle even if he is healthy. Pereira enters the week with three straight top-30 finishes including a top 20 at the Valero Texas Open. Only Rory McIlroy has gained more strokes at Bay Hill than Fitzpatrick, in as many rounds, over the past eight years. Sure, many factors contribute to success and not all performers are defined by them, but the 2023 body of evidence already includes the likes of Eric Cole (P2), Ben Martin (T5) and Carson Young (T29), each of whom with attention-getting performances at PGA National last week. Jon Rahm (8/1) Keyur Khamar. Gehman: Brendon Todd (+500, Bet365) Todd has found magic with his irons twice already during this season. Six straight made cuts for the Belgian, including four finishes of 12th or better. https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/category/pga-odds-lines-picks-predictions, PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and predictions, NFL Fantasy Football Rankings, Sleepers and Analysis, Jeff Overton odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Ludvig Aberg odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Roberto Diaz odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Eric Axley odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Seonghyeon Kim odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Will Zalatoris odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Justin Thomas odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Min Woo Lee odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Ben Taylor odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Ryan Palmer odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Aaron Rai odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Eric Cole odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, J.J. 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Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. Bay Hill rewards great approach players. Henley has an 18 percent top-10 rate over the past year, and only the putting is really holding him back from success this week. The PGA Tour is headed to TPC Louisiana for the Zurich Classic, a team event where the format of play rotates between best ball and alternate shot. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. He missed the cut in both Phoenix and Los Angeles, struggling to put all four facets of the game together. Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. Powers, Golf Digest: Austin Smotherman (200-1, BetMGM) Short knockers who can pure their irons usually fare well here, and thats exactly what Smotherman is. Course Fit ( compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. The guy has kept the hot streak going in casual rounds, as our guy Doug Smith can attest to, and so I think this is the perfect, low-key field for Finau to add yet another W. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest assistant editor: Tom Hoge (30-1, DraftKings) Hoge is absolutely tearing it up this Fall, finishing T-13 or better in all four starts hes made. NBA Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings and Underdog, DraftKings Showdown Single Round Projections. DraftKings Round 4 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Patrick Cantlay. Scottie Scheffler (last three starts: T-55, 1, 1), 2. Hes played this event once, finishing T-17 last year while losing 5.24 strokes in the short game. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Bay Hill leader Kurt Kitayama has multiple flattering nicknames The Scotsman ranks seventh in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and this is the exact style of course where Knox can start taking these opportunities. , I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. The next biggest story to watch is Viktor Hovland's quest for a three-peat in this event, something that has not been done on the PGA Tour since Steve Stricker won three consecutive John Deere Classics between 2009 and 2011. Kevin Tway ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,100 FanDuel). The 26-year-old hasn't been great in this event the past two years, but he did finish third in 2020. McIlroy disappointed with a T-32 in Phoenix and T-29 in Los Angeles, but his advanced metrics tell a different story. Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. While he still has work to do, many fully exempt members would love to trade places with that position, but it projects to improve at Bay Hill where he placed T17 in his last trip in 2019. Before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own,be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure. How to Sports Bet 101: What is a Point Spread? Following the first round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Pierceson Coody is in 82nd position with a score of +2.In the Sports Scores and Odds Hub 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am First Round Leader Picks: Does Matthew NeSmith Still Own Pebble Beach? Jhonattan Vegas ($8,600 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). Reunion Resort & Golf Club 7. Tway got through the cut at both full-field elevated events, finishing top 40 in both. The PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. The only thing thats held him back is the flat stick, which weve seen him flip on a dime and win tournaments before. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outright plays, including hitting Hudson Swafford (250-1) at last year's The American Express. Ryan Palmer has a new partner this time around after playing with Jon Rahm for the past few seasons (and Jordan Spieth before him). Gehman: Viktor Hovland Hovland heads back to Mayakoba, looking to win this event for the third consecutive year. Hes proving to be a well-rounded golfer with plenty of room for growth. He tends to thrive when conditions get more difficult, which will be expected at PGA National this week. Like golf? For the first time since his back injury last year, Zalatoris looked like himself again in his most recent start. The pair of Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman enter as the defending champions, while the betting favorites are Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa (+600). Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. picks Thats a tough scene. Day is elite in multiple metrics. BetMGM + Stokastic Promo Get 1 Free Month! And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Poston. You can see the rest of McClure's Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bet picks at SportsLine. Draft Wingman for DraftKings, Yahoo, ESPN, CBS, FFPC & More, Simulate your Fantasy Football Draft Against Awesemo's AI, The Fantasy Football Rankings Cheatsheet Hub, Breakouts, Sleepers, Deep Sleepers, and Busts, PGA DFS Rankings for DraftKings, FanDuel & Yahoo, Fantasy Golf: PGA DFS Projections for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo, PGA DFS Projections for Showdown and Weekend Daily Fantasy Golf, Top Golfers Tool PGA DFS Simulation Results for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo, PGA Weather Splits for Daily Fantasy Golf and Betting, Daily Fantasy Golf: Power Rankings and Matchups, PGA DFS Pro Plays for Fantasy Golf Lineups on DraftKings + FanDuel. Picks Not surprisingly, the Mississippian ranked third in the field by average 14 greens in regulation per round. Powers, Golf Digest: Thomas Detry (-110) over Seamus Power (DraftKings) Not sure going against last weeks winner in a matchup has ever worked out in my favor, but I feel good about this one. Written by Jason Rouslin and released on Sunday evenings. Prizepicks + Stokastic Promo Get a Free Month! Aaron Rai ($7,700 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/2022-zurich-classic-odds-field-pga-tour-bets-picks/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Toss in four par 5s and scoring conditions during which par will feel like a red number, and it wont matter much that his putting unlikely will impress. Mayo: Maverick McNealy (18-1, DraftKings) Mav has a good chance to win, but I cannot in good conscience bet him when hes the same price as Morikawa. He gained more than 14 strokes from tee-to-green in those eight rounds but lost over eight strokes with his putter. Aaron Baddeley Its not easy to get into the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard while navigating a season on Past Champion status, and hes in on merit to boot. And for a guy whos been batting about .500 for four seasons, its notable that hes 7-for-11 this season with a T25 at Torrey Pines and a T29 at Riviera. Rileys constant is as a stripe show on approach, so our speculation relies on a hot putter to disrupt. This week, the PGA Tour is in Detroit for the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club, a track designed by Donald Ross. A strong field will tee off Thursday beginning at 11:30 a.m. Vegas has been impressive since returning to action from offseason shoulder surgery. Lee (DraftKings) There are exciting things happening with Days game right now, primarily his significant improvement on approach shots. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. He was finalist for four FSWA Awards in 2020 (Best Podcast, Best Video, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. PGA Live Before Lock: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Picks. Day, a 12-time PGA Tour winner, has three straight top-10 finishes and has yet to finish worse than 18th place in 2023. Hes top 10 in driving accuracy over the past year, according to datagolf, and hes second in SG/approach in that span, as well. Confidence is high for Ryder, who is playing the best golf of his life right now. Hes already proven that it works at Bay Hill, too. On paper, El Camaleon should be an excellent course for him except its been horrible there. Grant has quietly flashed brilliance this year, earning a T-25 at Torrey Pines and a T-20 at Pebble Beach. Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) also are top choices, while Si Woo Kim is priced at 29-1 at Caesars. Montgomerys putter has cooled off, and hes been exposed a bit in the elevated events. Gdula: Tony Finau (-118) over Aaron Wise (FanDuel) Finau is by far the best in the field over the past 20 rounds, and even using past-year data with recency adjustments, my head-to-head model thinks Finau should be around -135 in this matchup over Wise. Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. It wont be all fun and games this week because PGA National is one of the toughest tests in all of golf. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Other top contenders in the Arnold Palmer field include Rory McIlroy (19-2), Scottie Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander Schauffele (24-1) and Will Zalatoris (24-1). Finishing T-50 in Phoenix and T-45 in Los Angeles are certainly not bad results, but they will look bad compared to the high standards that Kim has provided us in his first nine months on tour. Stop Guessing and Start Winning! GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Spaun +19000Harris English +19000Byeong Hun An +20000Justin Suh +21000Patrick Rodgers +21000Taylor Pendrith +21000Joel Dahmen +21000Sam Ryder +21000Taylor Moore +22000Emiliano Grillo +22000Kurt Kitayama +22000Joseph Bramlett +23000Danny Willett +23000Ben Griffin +24000Garrick Higgo +24000Francesco Molinari +25000. Hes gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his past 36 rounds, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. As a U.K.-based expert, Alldricks insight into European Tour regulars and low priced, low owned plays has provided an invaluable edge for readers when it comes to DFS GPPs. Course History Cheatsheet: A look at the entire fields history at the current weeks course. ), one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory. His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. Hes gained 10-plus strokes to the field five times during that run, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. NOT GREAT, BOB!!!! Released Tuesday. Courses 189 View detail Preview site Bay Hill will challenge golfers from tee to green and demand precision on and around the greens. (Photo by Katharine Lotze/Getty Images). And which sleepers could set you up for a potentially huge payday? This website is for entertainment purposes only and does not offer real money bets. Adam Svensson ($8,700 DraftKings | $10,200 FanDuel). Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2022 Worldwide Technology Championship. Expect regression in that category against a much deeper field. 7:52 am ET, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald, You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis, You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine, You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine, visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 American Express odds, field, expert picks, bets, Spieth among chasers at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win. PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and Gdula: Maverick McNealy (26-1, FanDuel) I cant suggest fading anyone at 18-1 or shorter. If he can just stop losing a billion strokes off the tee each week, hell become a popular play again. Affiliate Program Refer Friends & Earn! Golf course Bay Hill Club and Lodge | Par 72 | 7,466 yards Course comparisons (according to Stadium Course at PGA West, Trending: 1. Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, and find out. Hes one of the most experienced golfers in the field at PGA National, where hes played 10 times, making the cut in all but one. Released Wednesday. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The Open Championship in this week's edition of the Power Rankings. For more fantasy, check out Rookie Ranking , Qualifiers and Reshuffle. Noren has missed the last two cuts at elevated events by a total of three strokes. His biggest question mark is his putter, but hes gained strokes on the greens in three of his past four starts. Its a stat line that is full of red flags. The American Express 2023 will run over three courses, but all are similar -- short and featuring few hazards. Max Homa and Talor Gooch. Combine that with a wild driver, and Spieth will likely be playing out of the thick rough often at Bay Hill, narrowing his path to the top of the leaderboard. Thats the recipe for his two top 10s and no finish worse than 22nd in three starts. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? If you or someone you know wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Rory McIlroy ($10,600 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). Hennessey, Golf Digest: Russell Henley (33-1, BetRivers) His four most recent results include two MCs and a 35th- and 45th-place finish. The final round will be played on PGA West's Stadium Course after a 54-hole cut. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Taylor Montgomery ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). The ball striking? (Photo: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports). Lee +6500Rickie Fowler +6500Jason Day +8000Wyndham Clark +8000Joel Dahmen +8000Harris English +8000Chris Kirk +8000Taylor Pendrith +8500Justin Rose +8500Patrick Rodgers +9500Christiaan Bezuidenhout +9500Davis Riley +9500Thomas Detry +9500Denny McCarthy +9500Keith Mitchell +10000Will Gordon +10000David Lipsky +10000Sebastian Munoz +11000Brendan Steele +11000Martin Laird +12000Brendon Todd +12000Luke List +12000Dean Burmester +12000Emiliano Grillo +12000Ben Griffin +12000Stephan Jaeger +12000Alex Smalley +12000Aaron Rai +14000Russell Knox +14000Lee Hodges +14000Jhonattan Vegas +16000Nick Taylor +16000Greyson Sigg +16000Taylor Moore +16000Patton Kizzire +16000Sam Ryder +16000Mark Hubbard +16000Danny Willett +16000Nate Lashley +16000Robby Shelton +17000S.H.